- 10 Nov 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Endowments, Fiscal Federalism, and the Cost of Capital for States: Evidence from Brazil, 1891-1930
Do endowments matter in determining the cost of capital for a country or state? Endowments, according to Banco de México's André C. Martínez Fritscher and HBS professor Aldo Musacchio, are the conditions that determine what kind of commodities can be produced and exported in a determined geographical region. Studying the determinants of the risk premium of the bonds issued by Brazilian states between 1891 and 1930—a period of extreme decentralization of fiscal revenues and expenditures in Brazil—the researchers find that risk premia are highly correlated with state public revenue per capita. Because these revenues came, to a large extent, from the taxes states levied on commodity exports, the researchers argue that endowments mattered to determine the cost of capital for states. Key concepts include: Between 1891 and 1930, the cost of capital for Brazilian states and the probability of issuing state debt in international capital markets were highly correlated with state revenues per capita. The relationship among endowments and the cost of capital for states or the capacity to issue debt may have led to marked differences in access to capital and in the capacity that states had to spend on public goods. Since differences in expenditures on public goods can lead to market differences in economic development among states, the setup of the 1891 Constitution promoted some of the regional inequality that is still observed today in Brazil. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 05 Nov 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Medium Term Business Cycles in Developing Countries
At the end of 2007, the U.S. economy entered a recession that, by the first quarter of 2009, had reduced U.S. GDP by 2.2 percent. The Mexican economy was showing no sign of distress until the U.S. recession began. Despite that, Mexican GDP declined by 7.8 percent during the same period. This and similar episodes from other developing countries motivate several questions: Why do shocks to developed economies affect developing countries to such an extent? Does the response of developing economies to shocks that originate in their developed neighbors account for the larger volatility of developing economies? More broadly, what ingredients do macroeconomic models need to incorporate in order to account for the unique features of economic fluctuations in developing economies? To investigate these questions, the researchers developed a two-country asymmetric model to study the business cycle in developing countries. The mechanisms introduced in the model should provide an accurate account of business cycles in other developing countries. Key concepts include: First, U.S. shocks have a larger effect on GDP in Mexico than in the United States. This result is driven by the larger amplitude of fluctuations in Mexican productivity and by the subsequent effects on investment. This finding has important implications for the sources of Mexican volatility. Second, the slow diffusion of technologies to Mexico results in U.S. shocks having more persistent effects on Mexico than in the United States. This result explains the observed lead of U.S. GDP over the medium-term component of Mexican output and the relative price of capital. Third, consumption is no less volatile than output in Mexico. The researchers' model accounts for this stylized fact because a Mexican recession slows down the diffusion of technologies to Mexico, generating a gradual increase in the price of installed capital. As a result, Mexican interest rates increase despite the lower marginal product of capital, and consumption drops precipitously. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 19 Jun 2009
- Research Event
Business Summit: The Evolution of Agribusiness
Agribusiness has come to be seen not just as economically important, but as a critical part of society. The future for this massive industry will be both exciting and complex. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 24 Apr 2008
- Working Paper Summaries
Bank Accounting Standards in Mexico: A Layman’s Guide to Changes 10 Years after the 1995 Bank Crisis
Mexico was the first emerging market compelled to reformulate the financial reporting of its banks as a result of a financial crisis. In the last decade, Mexico has undergone a process of internationalization of its banking industry. Today, more than 80 percent of the equity of Mexican banks belongs to internationally active bank corporations. This internationalization demands more transparent regulation, including standardized accounting rules and better disclosure of information. The case of Mexico can therefore serve as an example of the relevance of these changes, as well as of their scope and limitations. This paper attempts to clarify the nature and structure of the new accounting standards, and explains how they have affected financial statements and their interpretation. Key concepts include: Mexican bank accounting standards enjoyed special treatment during most of the 20th century because banking was an industry protected from foreign competition in a relatively closed economy. More transparent bank accounts and stricter accounting processes in Mexico are especially crucial today, in light of the predominantly foreign ownership of the Mexican banking system. The classification of financial operations still varies from country to country. National differences emerge despite the fact that financial instruments, products, and transactions are either very similar or the same worldwide. Legal and regulatory stipulations, accounting history, tax structure, and local business practices create differences in the way financial transactions are recorded in the financial statements. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 14 Feb 2008
- Working Paper Summaries
Laws vs. Contracts: Legal Origins, Shareholder Protections, and Ownership Concentration in Brazil, 1890-1950
The early development of large multidivisional corporations in Latin America required much more than capable managers, new technologies, and large markets. Behind such corporations was a market for capital in which entrepreneurs had to attract investors to buy either debt or equity. This paper examines the investor protections included in corporate bylaws that enabled corporations in Brazil to attract investors in large numbers, thus generating a relatively low concentration of ownership and control in large firms before 1910. The case of Brazil is particularly interesting because, in Latin America before World War I, it boasted the second-largest equity market and largest number of traded companies. As HBS professor Aldo Musacchio shows, the considerable variation of investor protections over time at the country level, and even at the company level, urges cautions against notions about the persistency of institutions, especially of legal traditions. Key concepts include: Many large Brazilian corporations at the turn of the 20th century induced small investors to buy equity by choosing bylaws that distributed power in a more democratic way among shareholders. Maximum vote provisions, and to a lesser degree graduated voting scales, were correlated with lower concentration of ownership and voting power. The shareholder protections in national laws that seem to have mattered most were those that facilitated the private monitoring of corporate activities by requiring corporations to publish important financial information. It is possible for companies to break with the institutional environment in which they operate. It is unlikely that the institutions relevant to the expansion of equity markets and development of large multidivisional corporations were determined hundreds of years ago, either at the time of colonization or when countries adopted their current legal systems. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 09 Jan 2008
- Working Paper Summaries
A Resource Belief-Curse: Oil and Individualism
Capitalism is not as widespread as economists would hope. Data from surveys of public opinion, as well as on the distribution of political parties, confirm the idea that capitalism doesn't flow to poor countries. In some countries, anti-market sentiment has increased in recent years, a period where the price of oil and other primary commodities have soared. This combination of anti-market sentiment and high oil prices has led to renegotiations of oil contracts and even nationalizations in some countries such as Bolivia and Venezuela. It is tempting for economists trained in the theory of political capture to argue that this is just another instance where special interests exploit the circumstances to make an extra dollar. Given that these nationalizations are often popular with the majority of voters, however, the researchers resist this temptation and ask if there are explanations where a positive correlation emerges between voter anti-market sentiment and dependence on oil. Key concepts include: Antipathy toward markets has become particularly acute in Latin America. In Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador, and Argentina, policymakers have focused their anti-market energies and attention on natural resource companies, in several cases even renegotiating their contracts. A connection between dependence on oil and receptivity to populist rhetoric is both natural in economic models and has some support in the data. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 28 May 2007
- Research & Ideas
How Property Ownership Changes Your World View
When Argentine squatters were granted property title it changed the way they viewed the world. HBS professor Rafael Di Tella discusses his research into how property ownership affects our beliefs and also our attitudes toward capitalism. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 18 Apr 2007
- HBS Case
How Magazine Luiza Courts the Poor
Brazilian retailer Magazine Luiza has developed an innovative strategy for selling to the poor, combining technology with great service that please both customers and employees. The question of how the company can grow without sacrificing the special qualities that have made it successful is at the heart of a case study developed by Harvard Business School professor Frances X. Frei. Key concepts include: The case "Magazine Luiza: Building a Retail Model of 'Courting the Poor'" looks at the Brazilian retailer's innovative approach to selling to the poor. Magazine Luiza sells a mix of furniture, consumer electronics, and white goods. The retailer's flexible procedure for credit approval employs nontraditional metrics, which enables customers with lower, less easily established incomes to make purchases. Students who discuss the case in the HBS classroom must assess the viability of Magazine Luiza's acquisition of another Brazilian retailer and consider future growth initiatives. Can the company retain the qualities that have made it special to both customers and employees? Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 04 Apr 2007
- Research & Ideas
The Business of Global Poverty
Nearly half of the planet's population subsists on $2 a day or less. What role should business play as the world confronts what may be the most explosive socioeconomic challenge of the new century? Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 19 Mar 2007
- Research & Ideas
Handicapping the Best Countries for Business
India? South Africa? Russia? Which are the best countries for a firm to invest in? In a new book, Professor Richard Vietor looks at the economic, political, and structural strengths and weaknesses of ten countries and tells readers how to analyze the development of these areas in the future. Read our Q&A and book excerpt. Key concepts include: Governments create the overall environment for successful competition in the global economy. Bad government can only lead to less competitive businesses. To be competitive, countries need to offer businesses sound fiscal and monetary policies, secure property rights, high savings and investment, an absence of corruption, and exports that are competitive in enough areas to eventually balance imports. Business people must understand where markets and countries are headed by analyzing the present and then extending current performance trends forward three to five years. Although each has issues, Singapore, China, and India are currently the best bets for FDI and, pending political stability, so is Russia. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 05 Mar 2007
- Research & Ideas
Risky Business? Protecting Foreign Investments
After a string of forced nationalizations of private enterprises in the 1960s and 1970s, the pendulum swung back and companies were again encouraged by host countries to build and run major infrastructure projects such as power and water. But a set of new property protections has done little to manage the risk in many of these politically unstable environments. Professor Louis T. Wells, coauthor of a new book on making foreign investment safe, discusses the current landscape. Key concepts include: Although property rights protections for investors in developing nations have improved since 1980, the new instruments are failing to satisfy the interests of either host countries or their business partners. Protections can be improved by developing a real consensus on the part of investors' home countries, host countries, and investors themselves. Business managers must take a significant role in pushing for a multilateral agreement on foreign direct investment, or at least become active in promoting lesser changes that will lead to more balance and security in the current system. Otherwise businesses will lose profitable opportunities and find themselves in the middle of disputes that hurt their future prospects. And poor countries will fail to benefit from what investors can bring them. Absent strong protections, managers must ask themselves a series of questions before investing in developing countries, such as: Is my investment project politically sensitive? If so, will the country continue to need my participation in the project? Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 13 Dec 2006
- Research & Ideas
Improving Public Health for the Poor
Microfinance may offer a window on new methods for widening access to healthcare for the poor, says Harvard Business School's Michael Chu. He and colleagues at the Harvard School of Public Health have embarked on a new project to serve this critical sector. Bringing together public healthcare and market forces "could have huge impact," he says. Key concepts include: Poverty is defined by three billion people in the world living on less than $2 a day. Public health as a private good should be complementary to public health as a public good, not in opposition to it. Project Antares wants to take high-impact initiatives and deliver them through commercial means. Part of its measure of success is whether a higher percentage of the population is helped than would be otherwise. Poverty cannot be tamed with a single solution. It needs an arsenal comprising education, healthcare, housing, access to basic services, and access to capital. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 06 Dec 2006
- Op-Ed
India Needs to Encourage Trade with China
Although India and China have increased bilateral trade over the last five years, the amount is far less than what would be expected. Harvard Business School professor Tarun Khanna says India has primarily itself to blame. From The Economic Times. Key concepts include: China and India recorded $19 billion in bilateral trade in 2005, much less than would be expected of countries similar in size, within geographic proximity, and with shared cultural ties. Indians' fears about Chinese competition and unease over past border wars result in procedural and other roadblocks to increased trade, at India's disadvantage. China benefits from the trade more than India, both by selling more and better products to India and by welcoming Indian investment in China. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 17 Aug 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
Corporate Governance and Networks: Bankers in the Corporate Networks of Brazil, Mexico, and the United States circa 1910
Brazil today looks like a typical case in which business groups and close relations between companies and banks play an important role to overcome information and monitoring problems. This was not always the case. To study how the development of financial markets can change the interaction between banks and corporations, Musacchio compared the importance of interlocking boards of directors between corporations and banks in Brazil, Mexico, and the United States at the turn of the twentieth century. This paper and previous research support Musacchio's hypothesis that financial markets in Brazil were sustained by an institutional framework that protected investors, enforced credit contracts, and promoted regular financial disclosure of company accounts. The development of bond and stock markets, and the relatively good corporate governance practices in Brazil before 1930, made connections with bankers less necessary. Key concepts include: Even though Brazil, Mexico, and the United States had very different network structures, all three achieved rapid industrial growth before 1910. Connections with bankers might be good in an environment where access to credit is limited or where close relations help to reduce asymmetries of information. But once financial markets develop, these connections to lenders are less necessary. The development of good disclosure and corporate governance practices in Brazil circa 1910 allowed companies to depend less on connections with banks in the form of corporate bond interlocks. In Brazil, bankers were less central in the network of corporate board interlocks than in Mexico and the United States. In Mexico, foreign companies had access to financial markets abroad and fewer connections with banks. This strong, dense network in Mexico substituted for some of the institutions that promoted financial development and growth in Brazil. While most people see networks and financial markets as substitutes, networks in the United States functioned as complements to financial markets. Networks may successfully substitute for some institutions and generate the credible commitments that are necessary for the expansion of markets. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 19 Jul 2006
- Research & Ideas
Political Turmoil and Mexico’s Economy
Professor Noel Maurer's historical research into Mexico and other countries with unstable governments shows that their economies perform better than might be expected. Why? Key concepts include: A country's political instability does not necessarily take down the economy—rules matter. The final outcome of Mexico's disputed recent presidential election will tell how far the country has moved toward democracy. U.S. attempts to reform domestic institutions of other countries have sometimes been sidetracked in favor of economic expediency. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
What Roosevelt Took: The Economic Impact of the Panama Canal, 1903-29
The Panama Canal was expected to bring great economic benefits to the people of Panama. Instead, the United States received most of the benefits. This was a deliberate act on the part of the U.S. The U.S. didn't allow Panamanian businesses to sell goods or services in the Canal Zone, it avoided the employment of Panamanian workers, and it used its military leverage to force Panama into accepting a low payment for the Canal territory. Key concepts include: The Panama Canal's greatest benefit was its effect on transportation between the east and west coasts of the U.S. The main benefit for Panama of canal construction was the introduction of new healthcare technologies. Developing countries should be wary of large infrastructure projects such as today's pipeline and land bridge projects. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
Bankers, Industrialists, and Their Cliques: Elite Networks in Mexico and Brazil During Early Industrialization
Mexico and Brazil had different institutional structures in the early 20th century. Did entrepreneurs in these two countries organize their business networks differently to deal with the different institutional settings? And, how can we compare the impact of the institutional structure of Mexico and Brazil on the networks of entrepreneurial finance and entrepreneurship in general? In this research, Musacchio and Read look at the networks of interlocking boards of directors of major joint stock companies in two large Latin American societies in 1909. Key concepts include: Business networks were more important for entrepreneurs, bankers, and politicians in Mexico, supplanting formal institutions to the great benefit of connected Mexican elite. In Mexico, informal monitoring and enforcement provided by the network compensated for the relatively weak rule of law. The Mexican network successfully substituted for formal institutions because it included many politicians. In Brazil, politicians were uncommon in the network because of the stronger formal institutions. At low levels of development, there is no significant difference in how a country grows, either through strong formal institutions or by substituting networks for some of those institutions. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
Why IT Matters in Midsized Firms
What does IT actually contribute to a business? Is IT a commodity like electricity or is it a crucial element of competitive advantage? In a study of over 600 medium-sized global firms to analyze the business benefits that IT can enable, the authors found that IT capability was key to profitable business growth. This was true in both the U.S. product and services sectors as well as in Germany and Brazil. Key concepts include: IT matters. IT enables firms to scale. The amount a company spends on IT is a poor indicator of IT functionality and business impact. Firms with business process scalability find it easier to overcome obstacles to growth, differentiate themselves from competitors, and quickly capitalize on opportunities. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
- 29 Aug 2005
- Research & Ideas
How Organizations Create Social Value
A study of smart practices by social and business organizations in Iberoamerica. Research by HBS professor James Austin, HBS senior researcher Ezequiel A. Reficco, and UNIANDES professor Roberto Gutiérrez. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.
The Great Leap Forward: The Political Economy of Education in Brazil, 1889-1930
In 1890, with only 15 percent of the population literate, Brazil had the lowest literacy rate among the large economies in the Americas. Yet between 1890 and 1940, Brazil had the most rapid increase in literacy rates in the Americas, catching up with and even surpassing some of its more educated peers such as Mexico, Colombia, and Venezuela. This jump in literacy was simultaneously accompanied by a brisk increase in the number of teachers, number of public schools, and enrollment rates. Why were political elites in Brazil willing to finance this expansion of public education for all? André Martínez-Fritscher of Banco de México, Aldo Musacchio of HBS, and Martina Viarengo of the London School of Economics explain how state governments secured funds to pay for education and examine the incentives of politicians to spend on education. They conclude that the progress made in education during these decades had mixed results in the long run. Key concepts include: Competition in national elections and a literacy requirement may have provided the right incentives for state political parties and state politicians to spend on education in a way that increased literacy rates in a significant way over the period studied. Brazil started from an extremely low base and ended in what today would be considered a low level of literacy as well (around 40 percent of the population). Between 1889 and 1930 there was significant progress in the provision of elementary education in Brazil. It was to a large extent a consequence of the fact that some states got more taxation powers and had the obligation to spend on public education. Positive trade shocks can be converted into long-term development if there is electoral competition, and economic assets are not concentrated in a few hands. Expenditures on education between 1889 and 1930 altered the development path of some states and changed their relative rankings compared to other states in a somewhat permanent way. Closed for comment; 0 Comments.