Skip to Main Content
HBS Home
  • About
  • Academic Programs
  • Alumni
  • Faculty & Research
  • Baker Library
  • Giving
  • Harvard Business Review
  • Initiatives
  • News
  • Recruit
  • Map / Directions
Working Knowledge
Business Research for Business Leaders
  • Browse All Articles
  • Popular Articles
  • Cold Call Podcast
  • Managing the Future of Work Podcast
  • About Us
  • Book
  • Leadership
  • Marketing
  • Finance
  • Management
  • Entrepreneurship
  • All Topics...
  • Topics
    • COVID-19
    • Entrepreneurship
    • Finance
    • Gender
    • Globalization
    • Leadership
    • Management
    • Negotiation
    • Social Enterprise
    • Strategy
  • Sections
    • Book
    • Podcasts
    • HBS Case
    • In Practice
    • Lessons from the Classroom
    • Op-Ed
    • Research & Ideas
    • Research Event
    • Sharpening Your Skills
    • What Do You Think?
    • Working Paper Summaries
  • Browse All
    Have We Seen the Peak of Just-in-Time Inventory Management?
    05 Jul 2022What Do You Think?

    Have We Seen the Peak of Just-in-Time Inventory Management?

    by James Heskett
    Toyota and other companies have harnessed just-in-time inventory management to cut logistics costs and boost service. That is, until COVID-19 roiled global supply chains. Will we ever get back to the days of tighter inventory control? asks James Heskett.
    LinkedIn
    Email
    A worker moving a forklift in a warehouse.(iStockphoto/aydinmutlu)

    Logistics issues have taken on unexpected and possibly unwanted “glamour” among those who study business and economics, thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic and its global aftermath.

    It’s a throwback to the days when railroad management was all the rage in the original Harvard Business School curriculum among those interested in studying business in 1908. I should know. I was invited to join the HBS faculty not to teach marketing, service management, or general management, among my later teaching assignments, but to help breathe life into efforts to teach logistics.

    In those days, there was fascination with air freight and the trade-off of inventory and transportation costs—as in spending more for air transport in order to spend less on owning inventory, thereby optimizing what we called the “total cost curve.” (I can still draw those curves in my sleep.) A plentiful supply of “safety stock” was the order of the day for those using slower forms of transportation.

    "The result, of course, was what came to be known as 'just-in-time' inventory management, as championed by firms such as Toyota."

    One of my interests: The value of improved inventory information in a distribution channel on overall inventory levels and costs. One thing that may have helped generate the HBS offer was an experiment I performed using my own crude version of what would become known as the “beer game.”

    In my approach, my Ohio State students managed inventory at various levels in a distribution channel. Fluctuating demand at the retail level would generate exaggerated fluctuations—a “whipsaw” effect—in expected demand and inventory planning at the back end, or manufacturing level, in an effort to meet possible future demand. In one simulation, students had little knowledge of inventory levels other than those for the company they were managing. In another, they had full information about inventory quantities at every level in the channel. I found significant value—expressed in lower inventories and fewer out-of-stock situations—in channel-wide inventory knowledge.

    Over the years, information technology contributed to more complete knowledge about inventory status as well as more dependable transport. Both made a strategy with less safety stock more viable. The result, of course, was what came to be known as “just-in-time” inventory management, as championed by firms such as Toyota.

    The approach worked. The amount of inventory needed to support a given sales level shrank. Logistics as a component of the total cost (transport plus inventory) of doing business came down. Customer service, as measured by stockouts, improved.

    "What we had come to take for granted then exploded in our collective faces."

    US auto manufacturers, following Toyota’s lead, were at times maintaining just half a day of inventory of some parts supplied domestically—until the pandemic. What we had come to take for granted then exploded in our collective faces.

    When the smoke has finally cleared and flows of goods have become more plentiful and dependable, how will industry respond? Surely inventor-to-sales ratios will come back down, but to what extent?

    Will we return to the halcyon days of pre-pandemic inventory management? Or will larger safety stocks, with determinants programmed into inventory management formulae, be the order of the day?

    Have we seen the peak use of “just in time” inventory management? What do you think?

    Share your thoughts in the comments below.

    Editor's note: Heskett explores the leader's role in his book, Win From Within: Build Organizational Culture for Competitive Advantage.


    Your feedback to last month’s column

    Is Stakeholder Management Facing New Headwinds?

    Thoughtful comments raise added questions. That was the case in the several responses to last month’s column. The general sense that they left in my mind was that stakeholder management is facing new challenges posed by the rise of what John referred to as the “tribal spectrum” and the polarization that accompanies it.

    Perhaps the most significant question raised by respondents was that of balance. To what extent should a leader attempt to balance the interests and values of various stakeholders in making an important decision?

    Meena Raghunathan said, “My concern is more for the stakeholders who have interest but no power or voice! … They are given the least attention and support, though they may need it most.”

    On the other hand, Mark K., the CEO of a “publicly traded financial institution,” commented that, “it is my experience that a critical component of the leader’s job is to ensure that proper, meaningful consideration is given to the unique balance of the needs of each of the corporate stakeholders … Balance leads to performance whereas imbalance leads to M&A and becoming a statistic.”

    The challenge of balancing interests is that a wide variety of interests may describe any one stakeholder. As John points out: “Sometimes you have to decide which employee values does the business need to foster in order to align to your customer demand.”

    Clearly, stakeholder management is not getting any simpler or easier.

    Post A Comment
    In order to be published, comments must be on-topic and civil in tone, with no name calling or personal attacks. Your comment may be edited for clarity and length.
      Trending
        • 25 Jan 2022
        • Research & Ideas

        More Proof That Money Can Buy Happiness (or a Life with Less Stress)

        • 14 Mar 2023
        • In Practice

        What Does the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Say About the State of Finance?

        • 15 Nov 2022
        • Book

        Stop Ignoring Bad Behavior: 6 Tips for Better Ethics at Work

        • 25 Feb 2019
        • Research & Ideas

        How Gender Stereotypes Kill a Woman’s Self-Confidence

        • 16 Mar 2023
        • Research & Ideas

        Why Business Travel Still Matters in a Zoom World

    James L. Heskett
    James L. Heskett
    UPS Foundation Professor of Business Logistics, Emeritus
    Contact
    Send an email
    → More Articles
    Find Related Articles
    • Transportation Networks
    • Logistics
    • Trade
    • Manufacturing
    • Shipping
    • Transportation

    Sign up for our weekly newsletter

    Interested in improving your business? Learn about fresh research and ideas from Harvard Business School faculty.
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
    ǁ
    Campus Map
    Harvard Business School Working Knowledge
    Baker Library | Bloomberg Center
    Soldiers Field
    Boston, MA 02163
    Email: Editor-in-Chief
    →Map & Directions
    →More Contact Information
    • Make a Gift
    • Site Map
    • Jobs
    • Harvard University
    • Trademarks
    • Policies
    • Accessibility
    • Digital Accessibility
    Copyright © President & Fellows of Harvard College